Wake Forest
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
320  Garret Drogosch SR 32:31
419  Nate Guthals SR 32:44
647  Kent Garrett FR 33:12
666  Tom Finneran SR 33:13
789  Alex Rose SO 33:27
814  Jake Graham SR 33:29
877  William Matthews SR 33:35
912  Anthony Marois SR 33:38
1,133  Connor Crowley SO 33:58
1,454  James McAlister FR 34:25
1,456  Thomas Ross JR 34:25
1,460  Evan Little FR 34:26
1,712  Brian O'Toole SO 34:48
1,837  Ryan Horgan FR 35:01
National Rank #89 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #14 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 32.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Garret Drogosch Nate Guthals Kent Garrett Tom Finneran Alex Rose Jake Graham William Matthews Anthony Marois Connor Crowley James McAlister Thomas Ross
Charlotte Invitational (Green) 09/28 1206 34:06 33:36 33:58
Charlotte Invitational (Gold) 09/28 1003 32:24 32:46 32:52 33:31 33:52 33:18
Blue Ridge Open Meet 10/12 1035 32:49 32:46 33:28 33:09 33:13 33:15 33:32 33:33 33:37 34:24 33:50
ACC Championships 10/27 1014 32:39 32:33 33:20 33:05 33:43 33:17 34:10 33:42 35:05
Southeast Region Championships 11/09 964 32:11 32:54 33:02 33:16 32:54 33:42 35:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 11.1 340 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 9.5 19.8 31.2 23.7 7.4 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Garret Drogosch 38.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.3
Nate Guthals 50.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5
Kent Garrett 78.5
Tom Finneran 80.7
Alex Rose 93.3
Jake Graham 94.5
William Matthews 100.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 0.0% 0.0 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.6% 0.6 7
8 2.8% 2.8 8
9 9.5% 9.5 9
10 19.8% 19.8 10
11 31.2% 31.2 11
12 23.7% 23.7 12
13 7.4% 7.4 13
14 2.8% 2.8 14
15 1.4% 1.4 15
16 0.5% 0.5 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0